JVM's Blog
By Jay Voorhees
JVM's BlogJun 24, 2021
Competing Against “Losers” (Companies Willing & ABLE To Lose Millions Or Billions)
The only advantages of using an iBuyer are quicker access to cash and less effort prior to selling (no staging, repairs or showings). But sellers invariably get less for their homes.
Some of the iBuyers are losing as much as $100,000 per transaction.
iBuyers are also taking enormous risks b/c if the market turns while they are holding inventory, they could quickly lose billions.
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When 5% Down Scares Away Sellers – What To Do?
Recent data shows that half of all homebuyers getting a mortgage in April put down over 20%.
But what about our low-down-payment buyers do they still have a shot in today's market?
WSJ article: For Many Homebuyers, a 5% Down Payment Is Not Enough.
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Why The Fed Probably Can Never Raise Interest Rates
Our entire economy is like an 18-wheeler careening down a curvy mountain road at 80 mph with no brakes; nobody knows how the truck will slow down or what will happen.
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In Defense Of Chaos (Why We Need It)
I came home last night to a giant vat full of honey – not just a lifetime’s supply, but several lifetimes.
It turns out my wife Heejin ordered it when online shopping at Target and she was way too busy to vet honey sizes – so she just bought the first one she saw.
Things of this nature often happen in our house b/c Heejin thrives on chaos.
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Fed Speaks – Rates Up; Paying Off Student Loans With Mortgage; Interest-Only Loans
What crazy thing did Powell have the audacity to say?
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Closing Fast! What Are The Hold-ups? Different Speeds For Different Loan Types
We always try to close as quickly as humanly possible to make our clients’ offers more compelling than other offers, particularly cash offers. We also offer a “Close On-Time Guarantee” to make offers more compelling.
But the issues we face are the hold-ups from third parties over whom we have no control
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“I’m Having My Best Year Ever; Why Don’t I Qualify?” “What Are My Options?”
Today’s subject line is a lament we hear all too often from self-employed borrowers, and last week was no exception, as we received an email that said exactly that.
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Inflation Way Up & Rates Down? What Does The Bond Market Know?
The last time we saw significant inflation in the 1970s, the stock market tanked and didn’t recover for a decade and interest rates remained in double digits for years.
So, when we saw this headline in the WSJ, U.S. Inflation Is Highest in 13 Years as Prices Surge 5%, we thought for sure we’d see rates jump … finally.
But, rates fell… again.
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Is The Housing Affordability Crisis A Myth?
We constantly hear horror stories about the housing affordability crisis, and how it will push too many buyers out of the market and foster a correction of sorts.
So – is the recent run-up in home prices exacerbating the "affordability crisis?"
Diana Olick's recent article
The Philadelphia Inquirer's article
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Your Home Just Appreciated 25% – Now What?
Homeowners everywhere should seriously consider refinancing for all of the reasons set out above, as rates still remain almost 0.25% LOWER than where they were last year this time.
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Appraisal Reviews = Collateral Reviews = CDAs = DELAYS (Mostly For Jumbo)
The appraisal review requirement is one of the reasons why jumbo loans take at least a week longer to close than conforming (Fannie/Freddie) loans.
These appraisal reviews take anywhere from two to five days and can only be performed of course after the appraisal report is complete.
This is why we often get appraisal reports in “at value” for jumbo loans but we cannot release the appraisal contingency for several more days – while we wait for the review to come back.
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The One Thing That Can CRASH The Housing Market!
What is the one thing that could crash housing?
A surge in interest rates could tank the housing market, b/c it would create major affordability issues and/or simply scare buyers out of the market.
Fortunately, many pundits like Barry Habib don't think that is in the cards for us - here is why.
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Do Some Loans And Lenders Require More Work From Borrowers?
We spend about $750,000 per year on various technology applications with the primary goal of making the mortgage process as simple and as efficient as possible for our clients.
So, is JVM more work for borrowers?In a word – no.
Not even close in fact, as we underwrite to the same guidelines that everyone else does. In addition, our massive tech integrations truly do make life far easier for borrowers.
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5 Problems With Housing Grants And Down Payment Assistance Programs
Grants and down payment assistance programs are offered by government entities with the goal to either loan or simply grant cash-starved buyers sufficient funds to cover the down payment, the closing costs, or both.
But – the problem we see time and again is that sellers very often won’t accept offers involving either grants or down payment assistance.
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Appraisal Problems – 5 Options When Appraisals Come In Low
Our Zillow rep told us yesterday that searches for new homes are down 25% from recent months, as buyers appear to be “fatigued” and are putting their searches on hold.
Despite that fact, the market remains extraordinarily hot and we continue to see appraisals come in under contract price all too often.
This should not be surprising, as buyers continue to bid over the list price and the list prices themselves are often now higher than any of the nearby closed comparable sale prices.
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Job Placement Disasters; Why I Love DISC (Personality) Tests
In 1985, Jay applied for a job at Copper Mountain Ski Resort in Colorado because he wanted to be a ski bum – and to ski for free, you had to have a job on the mountain. Little did he know that ski bums still have to take personality and aptitude tests.
To really understand DISC tests, it is best to simply read through an entire report so we've linked to Jay's DISC Test here.
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To learn more about the topics discussed in this blog or get more info about JVM's mortgage services, contact our team by phone at (855) 855-4491 or email us at jvmteam@jvmlending.com
Costco Mortgage Horror Story
Costco is a magical place where you can fill your cart with a 5 lb box of Cheez-Its, an 84 pack of Coors Light, a big-screen TV, and a mortgage.
Our team has been listening to this excellent "Business Breakdowns" podcast (about Costco) and we definitely recommend giving it a listen.
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To learn more about the topics discussed in this blog or get more info about JVM's mortgage services, contact our team by phone at (855) 855-4491 or email us at jvmteam@jvmlending.com
Listing Agents Speak! (About Representing BOTH Buyers & Sellers/Dual Agency)
On Friday, Jay blogged about Buyers Working Directly with Listing Agents Instead of Using a Buyers Agent, and received a surprising amount of feedback.
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Buyers Going Straight To Listing Agents – Does It Work?
I saw this tweet a few days ago from Nick Huber – whose Twitter account I typically enjoy.
"How to buy a house in a hot market:
Fire your buyers agent (or don't get one). You're at a disadvantage with a multi-offer scenario.
Work directly with the seller agent.
Make offer with 2% credit to seller and 1% more commission to the seller agent."
When I read the tweet, I thought… “good gravy; what universe does he live in?”
So, does going straight to listing agents work in soft markets?
In my opinion, no - here's why.
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Duplex vs. House + In-Law Unit (ADU)?
We get questions all the time asking whether properties are duplexes or single-family residences with in-law units. Unfortunately – there are no hard and fast rules. In today's episode, we outline the criteria that underwriters and appraisers evaluate.
We encourage listeners to read this blog too: Valuing An In-Law Unit.
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To learn more about the topics discussed in this blog or get more info about JVM's mortgage services, contact our team by phone at (855) 855-4491 or email us at jvmteam@jvmlending.com
Cash-Out Vs. Rate & Term Refis – What’s The Big Deal?
We frequently save borrowers thousands of dollars every month with cash-out loans. Because interest rates remain surprisingly low in the face of recent inflation concerns, borrowers with any type of cash-out needs would be wise to consider their options now.
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Homebuying Hell In 2021! A Real Homebuyer’s Story (It’s Motivational, I Promise)
This is a guest blog by our long-time Marketing Director, Lindsey Hansen.
She wanted to share what she went through to buy a home so frustrated buyers everywhere will know they are not alone.
And, more importantly, so buyers know that they should hang in there.
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4 Must-Know Facts About INFLATION, Housing, And Mortgages
With inflation here and only expected to get worse, many potential buyers are getting nervous and wondering what to do.
As a result, we thought we'd address a few major considerations today.
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Buying As Primary Residence & Converting To Investment Property – Considerations
Many homebuyers take advantage of owner-occupied financing, even if they plan on renting out the properties, later on, because the rates and down payment requirements are so much lower.
These buyers do need to be careful and we've outlined some of these considerations.
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Inflation Is Here! Why Didn’t Rates Climb More?
Inflation numbers came in sharply higher today and rates increased – but only a little. Here is a brief summary of the numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
We've talked about inflation repeatedly in recent months b/c it influences interest rates and the housing market so much.
Here are two examples: (1) Cage Match of the Century: Inflation vs. Deflation; and (2) 4% Rates By June
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When To Drop Your Husband; W2 To 1099; Title Only; Other Key Reminders
We're sharing some important qualification reminders for borrowers who have spouses with low credit scores and/or lots of debt, borrowers who recently became self-employed, and those looking for a "Title Only" mortgage solution.
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America Always Bounces Back; Sage Investment Advice! Good For Psyche Too
America always seems to overcome enormous crises no matter how serious they might seem at first.
Here are just a few examples of crises that truly seemed insurmountable and how America managed to come out on top over and over again.
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Divorces Continue To Surge! How They Impact Mortgages And Real Estate
COVID has changed everything – including marriage, as many couples realized they didn’t like each other when they had to actually spend time together. 😊 This is a great segue into important considerations in regard to divorces that divorcing couples, lenders, and real estate agents should keep in mind.
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#1 Reason We're NOT In A Housing Bubble - And It Is NOT What You Think
Crypto expert and former Goldman Sachs exec. Raoul Pal believes crypto and blockchain technology will transform the world and usher in a golden age that will increase global GDP by severalfold, and most importantly, allow everyone (not just the rich) to get richer.
We recommend watching this excellent Real Vision video by investment/finance guru Mr. Pal, called The Exponential Age.
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There’s A HUGE GLUT OF WOOD, So Why’s Lumber So Expensive?
Today's episode is breaking down the "Strange Economics of the Lumber Market." There is a huge glut of raw wood or logs, and the prices for such logs remain at record LOWS! This is a significantly positive sign for real estate and mortgages, as interest rates are now expected to drop in the coming months ahead.
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Can Borrowers “Roll Closing Costs Into The Loan?” 1,000 Five-Star Reviews!
We're not here to toot our own horn... who are we kidding, yes we are. We just got our 1,000th five-star review and we're over the moon excited about it. We also stop bragging for just a moment to talk about rolling closing costs into a loan.
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13 Factors That Impact Your Mortgage Rate
Interest rates are pretty cut and dry, right? You hear interest rates are at 3.25% so you think you'll get a 3.25% interest rate, right?
Wrong! There are at least 13 reasons why your personal interest rate could be higher or lower.
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Why Loan Officers Don’t Use Their Own Company For Financing; No Loan Officer Models
We must be doing something right as a mortgage lender when other mortgage lender employees are still coming to us for their personal home loans.
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$120 For A Piece of Fruit? Capital Gains Changes Could Spark MORE Selling; Why You Can’t Catch An Uber
We've got a lot of topics to hit today!
First, we're sharing this very short TikTok video that went viral last week.
Then we're diving back into the pool of capital gains to discuss some of the points you all sent in! Jay received many emails in response to his blog on Friday, many of them pointing out that the potential changes in capital gains tax rates may actually spur more selling in the short run – which would increase inventory.
And finally, we're answering a $140 dollar question: Where have all the Uber drivers gone?
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Higher Capital Gains Taxes? 2 HUGE Effects On Real Estate & Mortgages
This is why an investor with 70+ investment properties in California refuses to sell despite it being the hottest housing market we've ever seen.
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Owing Income Taxes & Qualifying for Mortgages
It's not uncommon to owe income taxes to the IRS, but how does it impact your ability to obtain mortgage financing? Well... it depends on the financing.
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Please Don't File Your Taxes - If...
We're not saying to not file your taxes, but we are saying that waiting to do so might not be a bad idea.
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“Reserves” – Why & When They Are SO IMPORTANT!
We had two nearly identical borrowers get rate quotes that were 1/2% different on the same day last week.
The two borrowers were nearly identical for all factors, including loan amount (around $800,000); credit score (800s); down payment (25%); property use (owner-occupied); property type (SFR); and type of loan (30-Year Fixed).
There was one huge difference though: reserves.
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Nordstrom, Walmart, Or Both?; Millennials Demand Both
There is an axiom in business that you have to choose either a high cost, high service niche with higher margins (like Nordstrom) or a low cost, no frills, lower margin niche (like Walmart), but you cannot be both.
So what should businesses, especially those in the real estate and mortgage industries do?
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Offer Rent-Backs To Get Offers Accepted; ARMS Are Back!
Sellers can rent back a property they just sold (and remain in the home) for up to 60 days after close of escrow.
We often tell Realtors and buyers, however, to limit the rent-backs to 59 days to ensure that the new buyers are able to move into the property by day 60.
Adjustable Rate Mortgages are back with a vengeance!
These loans are a great option for borrowers with a shorter time-horizon or for borrowers who are feeling too much pain for missing out on 2020’s record low rates.
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To learn more about the topics discussed in this blog or get more info about JVM's mortgage services, contact our team by phone at (855) 855-4491 or email us at jvmteam@jvmlending.com
Why Are Jumbo Interest Rates So Much Lower Than Conforming?
JVM's jumbo rates are now sometimes as much as 1/2% lower than conforming (Fannie/Freddie) rates.
In today’s blog, we've explained some of the reasons why.
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Jumbo Lending Explained – How We Target Jumbo “Investors” For Every Borrower
We had an appraisal come in low last week, and the agents seemed to believe that our choice of “jumbo investor” (PenFed) had something to do with the low appraisal when that was not the case.
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6 Things I Learned From Boomers; Credit Inquiries; HOA Dues; In-Laws and Total Square Feet
Jay gives Boomers a bad name in this blog... and Bon Jovi is wanted dead or alive (seriously, Jay is so over them as a band).
We're also sharing some important reminders about credit inquiries and HOA dues so you can stop living on a prayer during the mortgage process.
Are these Bon Jovi puns piercing you straight through the heart? Happy Friday y'all - we're finally more than halfway there to the weekend.
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Buying A Home For Your Child – Options?
What is the best way to buy a home for your child?
Here's five options for parents who want to help their kids become homeowners!
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The Other Reason Housing Inventory Is So Low (Not What You Think)
Have questions why there seems to be less and less housing inventory lately? There's a reason why, and it's not what you think.
This article from The Atlantic explains hedge funds buying up housing inventory.
This recent WSJ article explains how a hedge fund purchased an entire subdivision.
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Appraisal Woes Not Your Lender’s Fault; Blame Andrew Cuomo
One of the most frustrating and expensive aspects of our business is dealing with low appraisals.
In 2009, Andrew Cuomo pushed through the Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC) while he was the Attorney General of New York.
Cuomo pushed the new rules ostensibly to avoid the issues we saw prior to 2008, and Fannie and Freddie endorsed them – forcing all lenders to comply. The rules effectively forced lenders to order appraisals from a pool of appraisers – who were supposed to be part of a larger appraisal management company.
And, most importantly, HVCC prohibited loan officers from ever speaking directly with appraisers.
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Appraisers Can’t Push Values; Must Avoid Reviews/Cuts
We had an appraisal come in slightly under contract price this week (unusual in this market, to say the least).
Our property fronted to a court or cul de sac, but its side was adjacent to a very busy thoroughfare.
Hence there was substantial traffic noise which is a perfect example of an “adverse external influence” that must be taken into account by the appraiser.
By coming in slightly low (like our appraiser above did), appraisers are often preventing much more significant value cuts that might come as a result of an appraisal review.
I encourage readers to read these two below blogs too, as there is much confusion over these issues whenever appraisals do come in low.
Appraised Value ≠ Market Value
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Cage Match Of The Century: Inflation vs. Deflation; Diversify!
Either inflation or deflation is headed our way and Jay only has one piece of advice - diversify.
Links:
Wall Street Journal Opinion Piece
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To learn more about the topics discussed in this blog or get more info about JVM's mortgage services, contact our team by phone at (855) 855-4491 or email us at jvmteam@jvmlending.com
Refi Boom Over? Record Appreciation; Affordability Crisis? Not Here
As mortgage rates continue to rise, many are asking, are refis gone for? Is there an affordability crisis? Jay answers both these questions and more in today's blog.
Links:
Housing Appreciation in The Wall Street Journal
Ben Carlson's excellent blog
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To learn more about the topics discussed in this blog or get more info about JVM's mortgage services, contact our team by phone at (855) 855-4491 or email us at jvmteam@jvmlending.com
Why A Giant Stuck Ship (Suez Canal) Impacts Mortgages & Real Estate
For anyone not following the news, one of the world’s largest container ships got stuck in the Suez Canal last week, and the implications are both staggering and fascinating for the world, mortgage rates, and the real estate industry.
According to the BBC, 12% of world trade travels through the Suez canal. This works out to about $400 million of goods every hour; about 3.3 million tons of goods every hour; and about $10 billion worth of goods every day.
What happens when supply chains break and how do we prepare for the inevitable inflation spike?
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To learn more about the topics discussed in this blog or get more info about JVM's mortgage services, contact our team by phone at (855) 855-4491 or email us at jvmteam@jvmlending.com