Turn Two Fantasy Baseball Podcast

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Steve Gardner of USA Today to discuss early season breakouts in fantasy baseball.

- Detroit's Walk-off Nightmare

- Rizzo Power Surge

- Kyle Wright's Value

- Buy High Candidates

- Is Cody Bellinger Back?

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Grey Albright of Razzball to discuss:  

- Buy Low on Gerrit Cole?

- Robbie Ray's Slider

- Low HR Totals 

- Early Season Slow Starters

- Pitch Clocks and Goofy Rules

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Joe Pisapia of FantasyPros and John Laghezza of The Athletic to discuss early season trends.  

- Players off to hot/cold starts 

- Metrics to minor early in the season 

- Early buy low/sell high

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Frank Stampfl of CBS and Sara Sanchez of Bleed Cubbie Blue to discuss early season strategy in fantasy baseball.  

- Things to watch for 

- How to manage a roster during the first month 

- Players with a short leash 

- Award Predictions

 - Outlandishly Bold Predictions

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Derek Carty, creator of The Bat and The Bat X, to discuss outliers in 2022 MLB projections.

- How The Bat/Bat X differentiates from other projections

- How to evaluate & project rookies 

- Outliers who should outperform ADP

- Environmental impact of projections

- 2022 Bold Predictions

- "Draft Justin Turner or you are a bad fantasy player"

Matt (MattWi77iams) is joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) to discuss methods of locating a discount ace in fantasy drafts.

- What analytics/metrics to watch for

- The Andrew Heaney conundrum

- Context is key for understanding

- Using Stat Parameters to Locate Value

- Opportunity, Stuff, and Consistency

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Ron Shandler from Baseball HQ to discuss the evolution of analytics and modern-day fantasy baseball analysis.

- How fantasy baseball has changed in recent years

- Is there too much data?

- Favorite analytics for hitters/pitchers

- Tips for new fantasy managers

- What is missing is data analysis?

- How proposed rule changes can change baseball

- Latest news in MLB

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Greg Jewett of The Athletic and Doug Dennis of Baseball HQ to discuss how to value relief pitchers in fantasy this season.

- Are elite closers worth the investment?

- FAAB/Waivers vs Draft & Hold

- Closer Handcuffs

- Talent vs Opportunity

- Late Round RP Options

- Elite Middle Relievers

Matt (@MattWi77iams) was joined by Matty Kiwoom of SPStreamer and Christopher Torres to discuss how the delayed season may impact fantasy baseball and talk about some of their disagreements with popular lineup projections like Roster Resource.

- How the delayed season may impact player value

- Be careful with platoons when projecting playing time

- Value could change drastically with activity following the lockout

- Disagreements with Roster Resource

- We've been Nootbaar'd

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Ariel Cohen, the creator of ATC projections, to discuss opportunity cost and how to apply it to draft strategy in fantasy baseball.

- What is opportunity cost?

- Using ADP & projections to your advantage

- Positon/Category scarcity

- Position by position examples

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by guests Nando di Fino of The Athletic & Russell Withers of Armchair Roto to discuss the AL West.

- Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets

- Featured players: Adolis Garcia, Noah Syndergaard, Justin Verlander, Shohei Ohtani, Jo Adell, Mitch Haniger, Spencer Howard, Jeremy Pena, and more!

Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guest Jeff Erickson from RotoWire to discuss the AL Central.

- Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets

- Featured players: Shane Bieber, Jose Abreu, Andrew Benintendi, Casey Mize, Tarik Skubal, Matt Manning, Adalberto Mondesi, Zach Plesac, Robbie Grossman, and...Brent Rooker?

Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Rob Silver from the Launch Angle Podcast and Jason Collette from RotoWire to discuss the AL East.

- Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets

- Featured players: Trey Mancini, Wander Franco, Teoscar Hernandez, Brandon Lowe, John Means, Kevin Gausman, Shane Baz, Aaron Judge, and more!

Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Vlad Sedler from FTN and Jorge Montanez from NBC Sports Edge to discuss the NL West.

- Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets

- Featured players: Julio Urias Cody Bellinger, Logan Webb, Charlie Blackmon, Mike Yastrzemski, Yu Darvish, Jake Cronenworth, Zac Gallen, and more!

Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Derek Van Riper from The Athletic and Jenny Butler from Fantrax to discuss the NL East.

- Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers

- Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets

- Featured players: Jesse Winker, Nolan Arenado, Tyler O'Neill, Tommy Edman, Sonny Gray, Kyle Hendricks, Giovanny Gallegos, and More!

Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Chris Clegg from Fantrax and Peter Pratt from the Locked On Marlins Podcast to discuss the NL East. 

- Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers 

- Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers 

- Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets

- Featured players: Pablo Lopez, Elieser Hernandez, Max Meyer, Jazz Chisholm, Pete Alonso, James McCann, Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Will Smith, and more. 

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss the strategy of playing best ball vs draft & holds & redraft.

- High-volume vs Stand Alone

- Price Point and Bankroll

- Diversification Strategy

- Find Your Advantage

- How To Be Successful Long-Term

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by John Laghezza (@MLBMovingAvg) to discuss our player evaluation process and how you can do you own player breakdowns.

- Matt's player breakdown series

- Batted Ball Data vs Plate Discipline

- Noise vs Signal

- Player Examples

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss the player pool and strategy to navigate early fantasy baseball drafts.

A strategy after going:

- Pocket Aces

- Hitter/Hitter

- OF/OF

- How to attack RP

- Best positions to be "weak" on

- Favorite KDS

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP breakdown by taking a look at the outfield position (Part 2) and making predictions on value for next season.

- OF's 50-100 in NFBC ADP

- Massive tier if risky power/speed options

- Conforto bounceback?

- Boring production vs Upside

- Raimel Tapia's outlook

- Riley Greene & the DET outfield

- Disagree w/ Steamer PT

Matt (@MattWi77iams) and @BrianJSeymour discuss all of the last-minute transactions before the lockout to judge which players have seen a boost or drop in fantasy value.

- Mad Max to Queens

- Mets OBP outfield

- Semien/Seager to TEX

- Ray vs Gausman

- Late bargains for power 

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP breakdown by taking a look back at the outfield position and make predictions on value for next season.

- Tucker vs Robert

- Mullins a 2nd Rounder?

- Yordan vs Judge

- Teoscar Underrated

- Is Carlson Worth His ADP?

- Death by 1000 Papercuts

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @ZackRoto & @MLBMovingAvg to discuss how early offseason hot stove may shape the fantasy baseball season. 

- Berrios extension & Current ADP

- Berrios vs Stroman vs E-Rod

- Verlander & Thor Outlook After New Deals

- The Show Gets Gomber'd

- Matt Olson's Ceiling

- How to Value Seiya Suzuki

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for third base and make predictions on value for next season.

- How early to take JRam?

- Worth paying up for Devers/Machado?

- Where should Riley be taken?

- Bounceback Candidates: Moncada, Hayes, Suarez

- Bottom Heavy but Not Shallow

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for shortstop and make predictions on value for next season.

- Tatis or Turner

- Xander vs Seager

- Tim Anderson always underrated

- How early to take Wander?

- Bounceback for Lindor?

- Will Polanco repeat?

- Rockies infield siutation

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for second baseman and make predictions on value for next season.

- Is Semien worth a 2nd round pick?

- Albies vs Altuve vs Whit vs Lowe

- Massive mid-tier

- Marte's Health

- Edman Undervalued?

- 2nd Season for Jazz

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for first baseman and make predictions on value for next season.

- Production vs ROI?

- Should you invest in Vlad/Freeman?

- Embarrassment of riches

- Vlad vs Olson

- Olson vs Alonso

- Alonso vs Walsh

- Walsh vs Mountcastle

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for catchers and make predictions on value for next season.

- Will Realmuto be a "value" next season?

- How early should Perez go?

- The catcher cliff

- Matt changes his mind several times on Varsho

- The value of at-bats

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for starting pitchers and make predictions on value for next season.

- Where Ohtani the SP should be drafted

- Gallen bounceback?

- Mahle solid/underappreciated?

- Civale vs Stroman

- Montas vs Peralta

- Taillon post-Tommy John

Matt (MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their preseason ADP review and make predictions on value for next season.

- How early should you take Wheeler?

- How to value Pablo Lopez if he does not return

- Sonny Gray vs Framber Valdez

- Charlie Morton: Ageless Wonder

- Patrick Corbin...

Matt (@MattWi77iams) and @BrianJSeymour review preseason NFBC Main Event ADP to see what went right and what went wrong.

- Preview 2022 Rankings

- Predicting Early 2022 SP ADP

- Strategy and Pitfalls in drafting SP early

Matt (@MattWi77iams) & @BrianJSeymour discuss how to attack stolen bases down the stretch in fantasy baseball and end with a discussion about mental health and burnout.

- Under The Radar SB Options

- Teams With Best SB Matchups

- How To Leverage "Dead" Teams

- Discipline to Make Hard Choices

At the 42-min:42-sec mark starts a discussion on burnout, mental health, & its impact on fantasy sports/ real life.

Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss value shifts heading out of the trade deadline and slow draft etiquette

- Braves crowded outfield

- How to handle Kyle Gibson

- Kimbrel vs Hendriks

- Park Factors

- Brian's Solution for Slow Drafts

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @BrianJSeymour to discuss:

- K-BB Leaderboard since June 21 Crackdown

- Command and Home Run Suppression

- Importance of using FIP vs xFIP correctly

- SP to be worried about

- Marte/Luzardo & Other Trades

Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) break down injury analysis in fantasy sports.

- Risk vs Value when drafting injury

- Shocking PA comparisons

- Human element vs Business Element

- Prediction vs Blind Faith (The Vlad Jr Debate)

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @BrianJSeymour to discuss:

- All-Star Game/ HR Derby

- Rule Changes for 2021

- 7-Inning DHs, Man on 2nd, Shift

- Interleague Play

- Under the Radar Hitters

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by his new co-host Brian Seymour (@BrianJSeymour) to discuss their different views on the importance of player analysis in different formats versus the use of strategic analysis in volume play.

- Get to know Brian Seymour (4 min 44 sec)

- Player Analysis Debate (15 min 48 sec)

- Matt's 2nd Half Best Ball Draft (46 min 33 sec)

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by John (@MLBMovingAvg) to discuss pitching performances during the first week of the foreign substance crackdown.

- Breakdown of Matt's article

- Change in Pitch Mix

- Stuff vs Command

- Sample size concerns

- Buy, Sell, or Hold

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) of RotoBaller to discuss:

- Joe Girardi has a screw loose

- Gamesmanship

- Dungeons and Dragons

- How The Shift Has Evolved in Baseball

- Mike calls Matt Thanos

- How/when to attack standings/categories in you league

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino (@pmamminofantasy) of RotoFanatic.com to discuss the impact that the new baseball and foreign substance ban have on fantasy baseball.

- Glasnow Injury

- Bauer's Sweat/Rosin Argument

- Registered RPM's

- Reduced COR Baseball

- The Fly Ball Problem

- Not All Barrels Are Equal

- Players Who Can Avoid Drag

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss our rest of season outlook on outfielders.

- Trade or Hold Casty?

- WIll Adolis stay hot?

- Canha Underrated

- Mullins vs Meadows

- Buy low on Soler?

- Outlook on Yelich

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano and Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss our rest of season outlook for infield hitters.

- Can Posey maintain?

- Vlad vs Freeman

- Semien minus Dunedin

- Chapman vs Riley

- Jazz ceiling

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano (@CarmsClubhouse) of RotoFanatic to discuss early season standouts in plate discipline metrics.

- Evan Longoria renaissance 

- Cedric Mullins legit?

- Eduardo Escobar's future

- Buy low on Piscotty?

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss StuffERA and ERA estimators for early season pitcher analysis.

- Is Kluber back?

- Believe in Luis Garcia?

- Eovaldi's Blueprint

- Trust Dane Dunning?

- Pitchers to "Buy High" on

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano of @Roto_Fanatic to discuss the league-wide offensive struggle to begin the 2021 season.

- Historical Marks

- BABIP Variables

- LD vs FB hitters

- Players To Target/Avoid

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Chris (@baseballpods) to discuss early season pitching standouts crafted through custom early-season metric parameters.

- Early look at O-Swing, Z-Contact, SwStr%

- Narrow down the field through CSW, K-BB, and Barrel%

- Surprising standouts and omissions

- Check show notes for player list*

All pitchers (42) have above league average O-Swing%, Z-Contact%, SwStr%

(24)*also have CSW above 30%

(18)**also have K-BB% above 20%

(5)***also held opponents to Barrel rate under 5%

deGrom**

Bieber**

Burnes**

Cobb**

Tr.Rogers***

J. De Leon**

Luetge

Musgrove**

Canning

Glasnow***

Maeda

Rodon**

Cole**

Kopech***

Wacha**

Giolito**

Eovaldi***

Loaisiga

Ryu***

Kluber*

McKenzie

Alzolay*

Ty.Anderson

Heaney

Fried*

Lynn

Bundy

Houck

Montgomery

Means*

Gibson

Gausman

L.Castillo

Berris**

Montas

I.Anderson*

Mahle**

Fulmer

T.Walker*

Yarbrough

Cease

C.Anderson

Matt Williams (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Dave (@RunDMCd) to perform a fantasy intervention after the first week of the season.

- Player evaluation mistakes

- Spirit of Buy Low/Sell High

- Fast/Slow Starters

- Revolving bench door

Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Greg Jewett of The Athletic to discuss the current state of each MLB bullpen and hierarchy for saves

- Breakdown every MLB bullpen

- Arizona committee

- No update on Rosenthal

- Merryweather vs Romano

- Left-handed Roadblocks

Matt (@MattWI77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino (@pmamminofantasy) to discuss week one of the fantasy baseball season!

- Shortened first week

- 3 vs 4 game schedules

- May/Price/Gonsolin

- The Yastrzemski Line

- CJ Cron vs everyone

Matt is joined by @MLBMovingAvg to discuss some "warm takes" in fantasy baseball. Basically hot takes that are confident have a chance to actually happen.

- Alcantara vs Fried

- Urshela top-10 3B?

- Alonso returns value?

- Willi Castro ROI

- Wheeler > Snell?

- Franmil Reyes hype