Cryptonomics is about the principles of cryptocurrency and investing. Learn about personal finance, the disruptive power of this emerging industry, and how it might change your life in more ways than one.
Bitcoin and cryptocurrency still carry a stigma, promoted by Big Media, that their only uses are funding terrorism and buying drugs on the Dark Net. After the last bubble crashed in 2018, many people are even under the impression that the entirety of the technology is a pyramid scheme or otherwise a fraud. In fact, there are many legal uses for crypto, some of which are already current, and many which will be revealed in coming years.
Some examples include: a store of value, monetary sovereignty, tracking a supply chain, online or brick and mortar commerce, sending money to politically unpopular causes such as Wikileaks, proving copyright claims, and the sale of digital assets to represent shares in a company.
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The Venezuelan government released the Petro in 2019... Sort of. Cryptocompare.com says they have no data about what the current price is, and Coin Market Cap doesn't list it at all. It seems that it was a state-sponsored scam.
A government releasing their own crypto isn't so important to the long-term success of the market. Cryptocurrencies are already finding adoption in one way or another - used in commerce or as fund-raising tools for new companies - in the world's largest nation: the Internet. It doesn't need a formal declaration to have legitimacy. Real-world use is its own statement of legitimacy.
Join Kurt and Chris Guida as we discuss this question, and also whether someone should sell their bitcoin after losing 90%.
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After a solid year of bitcoin making low after low, you might think that it will continue to make new lows. You might even be so confident as to sell bitcoin short - that is, to borrow bitcoins in order to sell them, and profit when it goes lower. Would that be a smart move in market like this?
Or would the opposite action be correct - has crypto been going down for so long that it's "due" for a turn around? Should you invest in cryptocurrency now, in February 2019?
The other day I spoke with long-term Bitcoin enthusiast and software developer Chris Guida to get his take.
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According to Warren Buffett, there are two rules to making money:
1. Don't lose money.
2. Don't forget Rule #1.
Sounds pretty obvious, but the question is how to apply it to build your wealth over time? One vital tool is asset allocation - carefully dividing your portfolio over several markets, and rebalancing when they gain or lose share.
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Is bitcoin going to zero in 2020? Probably not.
I sat down with long-term Bitcoin enthusiast and smart guy, Chris Guida, to discuss this question. Chris's response was, the longer something continues, the more likely it is to continue. Bitcoin has been around for ten years, and so it's likely it will be around for ten years more. We also discussed the potential threats to cryptocurrency - some undiscovered bugs, states messing with it, sending NSA spies onto the dev team.
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The other day I sat down with my friend Chris Guida, long term Bitcoin enthusiast, software developer and all-round nice guy, to discuss some questions about cryptocurrency that people had raised on the Internet.
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Firstly, do we regret investing in cryptocurrency? Both of us started buying years ago, so the answer was a clear no. However, there are many people who didn't have the good fortune to buy so early. Chris says it's likely that the crypto market will come around again - just like with a traditional market, there's a boom and bust. It's easy for a lot of folks in the media to say that bitcoin is dead and will never come back - but literally hundreds of pundits have said that before, and it hasn't stopped crypto yet.
We also discussed whether the crypto bubble of 2017 was a pump and dump scheme, a manipulated effort by whales and market makers, pushing money in and loudly and taking it out quietly. Wherever there are markets, it's almost guaranteed that people are trying to work them in their favour, but in this case it's unlikely that there's one grand conspiracy to push up the price. The price, and the bubble, is a result of a lot of individual actors, buying, selling, holding, and saying the truth or saying lies about what they're doing.
Patreon has blocked YouTuber Sargon of Akkad for dropping N bombs, calling it hate speech. Now many customers and creators are leaving Patreon even if they don't like Sargon. Turns out when it comes to people spending their money, they don't like being Patreon-ised.
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Sargon's rant: https://youtu.be/74llFWdeKNM?t=4171
Wikileaks Mastercard parody: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jzMN2c24Y1s
Wikileaks bypasses financial blockade: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonmatonis/2012/08/20/wikileaks-bypasses-financial-blockade-with-bitcoin/#150ad8b67202
Satoshi advises against it: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1735.msg26999#msg26999
Removal of Infowars: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/aug/06/apple-removes-podcasts-infowars-alex-jones
Luke Rudkowski demonetisation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qb4swxN89Mw
Jordan Peterson alternative to Patreon: https://www.dailydot.com/layer8/jordan-peterson-patreon/
Matt Christiansen and Jacqueline Hart: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hv7hvZee-PQ
ShortFatOtaku MasterCard conspiracy: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAM3RPRDncU
If you want to invest in crypto or stocks or even your own business, you need to get capital first. I know from experience that saving small amounts of money every week can add up over the years. But you gotta find that money to save, to put that money into a fund to buy your own financial freedom, and it all starts with paying yourself first, being conscious of your money, learning restraint, and being grateful.
You Need A Budget review: https://beeverythingbeautiful.com/the-best-budgeting-app-to-get-your-finances-under-control
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Is it possible to become financially free within 4 years, the same amount of time it takes to complete a university degree? Maybe.
In December 2018, the crypto market is lower than it's been in 16 months. That will send many running, but for contrarians looking for an opportunity, it looks great.
Of course, to take advantage, you need to be careful with your money. Pay yourself first, tighten your purse strings, and remember your legacy. Then, glory may await you on the other side.
Little mistake... I said $10 in Facebook would have got you millions of dollars at IPO. It would have been around $900,000.
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In March 2017, I lost all of my bitcoin on a Brazilian exchange. After 20 months of mixed emotions, frustration, confusion and peace, I finally got my bitcoins back. Let me tell you the story on this exciting episode of Cryptonomics!
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A lot of people believe that money is evil, or the love of money is the root of all evil. I don't believe that. In fact, I think the opposite. Money is actually sacred - it's this potent condensed form of energy which can be used to benefit people. Money is powerful, and it's beneficial to show it respect. Let me tell you a story about what happens when you don't show respect for money, about how I lost my bitcoins.
By the way, I did end up getting my bitcoins back; it just took a really long time.
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Have you ever pulled on a door with a handle, only to realise it says "push"? What's the handle for?
Have you ever had your washing machine lock its door on you, and then give you a really helpful message like "DOOR IS LOCKED"?
People have these experiences all the time. Often they get frustrated. Sometimes they think "Aw geez I'm such a dummie for not knowing how to work this thing." But generally, it's not your fault. It's the fault of the designers for not keeping you in mind when they made the thing.
A lot of newbies have the same experience with Bitcoin.
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Why aren't we seeing greater adoption of cryptocurrency?: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrIul2OGsQE
Dash vs Bitcoin - Ridiculous comments on Dash: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzqGf_ak_2I
Months ago I talked about how to know when a market is overheated. It's a lot easier to tell when it's heated than when it's reaching bottom... People at the top are a lot louder, because they believe they're genius traders, they're rich and they've figured it all out. At the bottom, people aren't so public in admitting that they've lost thousands of dollars. So it gets quiet.
And it has been quiet for the last month. Now with Bitcoin dropping again, it seems like nobody is even crying about their lost fortunes... Just declaring death once again. So has crypto reached a bottom?
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Bitcoin will never reach mass adoption - that's my case here. It's not because there's anything wrong with Bitcoin of itself. It's simply because Bitcoin isn't aiming for mass adoption.
The Bitcoin team isn't focused on mass adoption, and maybe they never were. They're focused on something else - I don't know exactly what, something technical, some kind of engineering miracle. I know they're not focused on mass adoption, because mass adoption comes with user experience. The way you get people to use your tech is to make it easy to use. You start with your customer in mind.
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Steve Jobs on UX: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FF-tKLISfPE
Why VHS was better than BetaMax: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2003/jan/25/comment.comment
Just pay a $5 fee: https://twitter.com/Bitcoin/status/953693150018760705
Greg Maxwell 1 MB limit: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=140233.0
Credit cards are better: https://www.dashforcenews.com/jimmy-song-and-greg-maxwell-credit-cards-are-better-for-purchases-than-bitcoin/
Juan Galt - Practical BItcoin Maximalist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4ueQha5xpM
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You might know that Bitcoin is money for the Internet, a system where no one person has the power to change the ledger. What you might not know is, why should you care? How is it going to help people escape poverty, find prosperity, to hold governments accountable, to push banks to reform or be forgotten? Let's talk about the potential that cryptocurrency has to change the future for regular people like you.
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Eisenhower Farewell Address: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OyBNmecVtdU
Bitcoin vs Political Power - Stefan Molyneux: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=joITmEr4SjY
A lot of people forget the reason Bitcoin and cryptocurrency were invented - to threaten the monopolies and oligopolies of central banks around the world which abuse their power. Like it or not, Bitcoin is threatening to banks. That's why a system of independent funding like the Dash treasury is so important, an autonomous system of funding which reduces the chance of moneymen moving in to take over an operation and direct it in a way which serves their interest, rather than ours.
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Mastercard clip: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bO4jHXjCXw8
Bitcoin Paranoid: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eYu61qv6BpQ
Dash Force News: https://www.dashforcenews.com
Dash Text: https://dashtext.io
Dash Caracas: https://twitter.com/dashcaracas?lang=en
Dash Help: https://dashhelpme.io
Murshaq: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoivWO5SOu4
Last week, Nouriel Roubini, professor of economics at NYU's Stern School of Business wrote an article about cryptocurrency, explaining how it's all about greed. It's true, crypto is about greed, but that's not all it's about. Cryptocurrency is a movement and technology with many people involved, some with idealistic motives, and some more nefarious. Roubini's piece is littered with truths, half-truths and mis-truths, as I break down in this episode of Cryptonomics.
Original article: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/oct/15/blockchain-democracy-decentralisation-bitcoin-price-cryptocurrencies
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For years people have been asking when Bitcoin is going to reach mass adoption, and though the market has expanded a lot, there still hasn't been a lot of use in day-to-day commerce. In this episode I talk to Juan Galt about the lack of user experience in cryptocurrency, the projects which have the best user experience such as Dash and Steem, and what kind of UX we can expect in coming years.
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In the cryptocurrency market, anybody with a laptop, a little coding knowledge and a dream can invent a new asset, programming a financial instrument from their garage, scaring the pants off of regulators like the SEC, and many banks. That's why it's so popular among libertarians - it's liberty money. However, freedom also comes with responsibility. A free market with little oversight and no system of redress leads to widespread scams and other shady projects.
There are many ways to address this issue - for example, asking ICOs to get escrows to hold their funds until they reach key points in their projects, to prevent them taking the money and running. We can also leverage media to exposed poorly-conceived coins. And, as crypto journalist and consultant Juan Galt points out in this interview, we can stick to established projects like Bitcoin.
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I saw a question on Quora recently: Is this the end of cryptocurrencies?, accompanied by a link to a quote from Ethereum founder, Vitalik Buderin saying "There isn’t an opportunity for yet another 1,000-times growth in anything in the space anymore." It's funny to think that, without the chance of 100,000% gains, it seems like anything interesting about crypto is over. Most people playing the stock market would be ecstatic with even a 100% gain.
The truth is, there are still many opportunities in crypto for speculators, developers and even creative types.
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When people hear about someone making it big in Bitcoin, without knowing that background, it can seem like a lucky break, as if crypto assets were a roulette wheel for investors. What Kosh tells us here recounts a very different story, of wisdom, passion and vision.
Kosh recommends Mike Maloney's book "Guide to Investing in Gold and Silver", in which Maloney states that his knowledge of money took a leap forward when he pictured a system of rich bankers handing each other notes, each one inscribed with an unexpected phrase - "IOU". In comparison, Bitcoin looked like anything but a gamble - it looked like hope itself.
Decentralized Podcast: https://anchor.fm/decentralized
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In 'Post Office', Bukowski's girlfriend tells him to get a job, and he responds "Any damn fool can beg up a job. It takes a wise man to make it without working. Out here we call it 'hustling'."
In movies and novels, adventurers, rogues and hustlers are glamourised, representing something desireable and unattainable. In the real world, people judge and marginalise them, calling them "dreamers" or even "bums". Every day, these people dance through cracks in the system, finding value and opportunities in places which are invisible to others. They may be judged, and they may not fit neatly into any box, and it might not be easy to balance their accounts, but any hustler will tell you that their freedom is worth the pricetag.
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In this interview, "Emancipated Human" Luis Fernando Mises explains the things he focused on after a tragic loss - losing his best friend and $400,000 at once. It's always going to be tough, but with confidence in your own skills, the support of your loved ones, and the knowledge that you can always rebuild, life becomes a lot less stressful.
Emancipated Human: https://emancipatedhuman.com
DFiles - Crypto in Venezuela: https://d.tube/#!/v/eftnow/wia9ytgo
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Bitcoin is like poker: http://cryptonomics.space/episode/bitcoin-is-like-poker/
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Hyperinflation happens more frequently than a lot of people think. Venezuela is a current example, but we've seen a similar thing in Zimbabwe in the last ten years, the Argentine government has revalued the peso 4 times in the last 50 years, and there are even historical examples from the United States and Germany.
Let's talk about how Dash and other cryptocurrencies are helping people handle the problems of hyperinflation in Venezuela, and give you some historical context about the failure of fiat currency, and why you shouldn't trust governments with the money supply.
Emancipated Human: https://emancipatedhuman.com
Emancipated Human on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/emancipatedh/
The Cryptolifer Mentality by Bob Stanley: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RdfhZhE5VBs
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Crypto fanatics have been asking for a long time, when will this technology reach mass adoption? However, for many years the situation wasn't ripe. Bitcoin wasn't user-friendly enough, it was hard for non-techy newbies to get involved, and they didn't have an incentive. That seems to be changing, with Dash helping merchants and users get involved, giving the people of Venezuela a new tool to improve their situation during a crisis.
Venezuela and the cryptocurrency revolution documentary: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4PbciVl3nYU
The cryptocurrency dream, revived: https://medium.com/@EricRSammons/the-cryptocurrency-dream-revived-4b5c8561de27
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Lots of people who are involved in crypto have opinions about the direction of the market. People standing on the sidelines can tell you that it's over and will never recover after the crash in 2018. However, for people who have been in this for a while, we can see the patterns. Bitcoin bubbled at $30, $200, $1,000, and $20,000, and some were even expecting the rise and fall.
Nobody knows the day or hour when these patterns and cycles will play out, but we can say at least that they probably will. A bubble will form and a bubble will pop. The price will jump up very quickly just before a crash. There will be a sell-off after Christmas... and the loudest people will lose interest when the real growth begins.
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Is it possible to know where the crypto market is heading? Can you tell when the market is overbought, overheated, and getting close to a correction?
Here are three simple ways you can get an idea of where the crypto market is heading, especially when a lot of money is moving into the market, and it's reaching the peak of a bull market. Let's look at our own biases, then our own emotions, and finally some patterns of behaviour of others on social media.
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A few years ago, Kosh Eek realised that Bitcoin was a disruptive technology that he could personally use to withdraw his power from central banks - the entities which enable so much war and suffering in this world. Kosh saw that crypto assets could change the finance industry in a similar way to how Napster and BitTorrent changed the film and music industries, how Uber changed the taxi industry. Kosh saw a chance to make the world better in his own small way, and by an interesting coincidence, he was rewarded for it.
Check out Kosh and Aleks' work on the Decentralized Podcast: https://anchor.fm/decentralized
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If you've listened to a lot of interviews with successful investors and entrepreneurs, you might notice that a lot of them play poker, and some of them even recommend it as a way of improving financial acumen. There are many reasons: poker is a game of incomplete information, you have to assess risk quickly, be decisive, and emotionally deal with the consequences of a decision, whether it turns out to be good, bad or unknown.
Let's talk about the ways poker is similar to speculating, in bankroll management, being aware of deception, information asymmetry, letting your stake match your knowledge, and planning ahead.
Disclaimer: This is not intended to be financial advice. I'm merely presenting my own thought processes.
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You've probably heard a lot about Bitcoin and cryptocurrency in the media - people turning into millionaires overnight, discovering coins on lost hard drives and taking out mortgages to gamble on the market. And it's true, you can get rich using cryptocurrency, but that's just the tip of the iceberg. There's lot more to it than financial security - this technology is set to change society the world over, very similar to the way the Internet has changed our lives over the last 20 years.
It's a truly transformative technology and I'd like to tell you all about it - Welcome to Cryptonomics.
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