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The Wide Lens

The Wide Lens

By Robert Baharian

The Wide Lens is a weekly podcast and vodcast on the latest topics in finance and investing hosted by Robert Baharian and Jonathan Sim. We're currently taking a long vacation and hope to be back soon.
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The Recession Oracle

The Wide LensMar 29, 2022

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Property Turns The Corner - The Wide Lens EP42

Property Turns The Corner - The Wide Lens EP42

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Jonathan Sim discuss:

Artifical Intelligence (AI) and Google's updated Bard, inflation, the current state of the econony, where the stock market goes from here, the turning of the property market, and much more.

Tips and Recommendations:

Midori by Toa's: https://www.midoribytaos.com.au/

May 18, 202301:13:33
No Boom, No Bust

No Boom, No Bust

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Jonathan Sim discuss:

The world's copper shortage and what this means for clean energy, the recent rate rises, household balance sheets, monetary policy lags, credit slow down, earnings season, debt ceiling, First Republic's collapse, and much more.

Tips and Recommendations:https://mushroompackaging.com/ https://www.sushion.com.au/

May 11, 202301:01:26
The Market Has Cemented a Bottom

The Market Has Cemented a Bottom

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Jonathan Sim discuss:


The Nasdaq's rally and whether it's sustainable, First Republic's 95% stock decline and what it means for the banking sector, the latest on the Australian property and construction sector, sell in May and go away, inflation, interest rates, migration, and much more.

Tip & Recommendations: Yugen Dining: https://yugendining.com.au/

Beef: https://www.netflix.com/au/title/81447461

King Richard: https://www.netflix.com/au/title/81039550

May 03, 202301:05:52
Banking Crisis - What's Next?

Banking Crisis - What's Next?

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian is joined by special guest, Andrew Papageorgiou of Realm Investment House where they discuss:
The US and European banking crisis, the impact on Australian banks, US and Australian Commercial Real Estate (CRE) debt and how big of a problem this really is, interest rates and the 'fixed rate cliff', and what all of this means for investors, and much more.

Apr 05, 202301:24:45
The Fed Gamble
Mar 28, 202358:15
A Classic Bank Run
Mar 21, 202301:09:55
Show Me The Money
Mar 15, 202355:42
Pearls and Pitfalls of Private Debt

Pearls and Pitfalls of Private Debt

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Jonathan Sim with special guest, Dani Peer of Monark Property Partners discuss:

The trasition from bearish to less bearish in markets over the last 6 months, the emergence of private debt and its pearls and pitfalls, portfolio construction for the new world, and more.

Mar 08, 202301:02:14
Pearls and Pitfalls of Private Debt

Pearls and Pitfalls of Private Debt

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Jonathan Sim with special guest, Dani Peer of Monark Property Partners discuss:

The trasition from bearish to less bearish in markets over the last 6 months, the emergence of private debt and its pearls and pitfalls, portfolio construction for the new world, and more.

Mar 08, 202301:03:54
An Economy So Good That it’s Bad
Mar 02, 202352:00
Good Bye Soft Landing, Hello No Landing

Good Bye Soft Landing, Hello No Landing

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Jonathan Sim discuss:

The recent rally in financial markets, the new "no landing" scenario, the Australian property market and the upcoming Fixed Loan cliff, and the rise of AI.

Tips and Recommendations: 

https://www.masterclass.com/

https://binge.com.au/shows/show-the-white-lotus!10491 

Feb 23, 202301:02:42
A Global Market Wrap Up

A Global Market Wrap Up

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The current state of play of global markets, inflation, consumer spending, property prices and rent, what the next 6-12 months might look like in the stock market, and much more.

Sep 21, 202201:05:15
A European Crisis

A European Crisis

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Global interest rates, the decline of the balanced portfolio, why commodities are useless over the long-term, the European crisis, the most remarkable chart we've ever seen, and much more.

Sep 14, 202201:14:36
Deep Dive into Aussie Property

Deep Dive into Aussie Property

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby take a deeper dive into:

The recent Australian property decline and what to expect in the future, and the bullish/bearish battle of the stock market and what history tells us about the future.

Sep 07, 202201:11:34
Normalisation of The Economy

Normalisation of The Economy

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

What is really going on in the economy, interest rates and what to expect going forward, the stock market's rally rejection, and much more in Director's Cuts this week.

Sep 01, 202201:13:42
Trust The Thrust

Trust The Thrust

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Investor's shifting from apocalyptically bearish to just bearish, the resilience of the US consumer, the recent rise in markets and what to expect over the next 12 months, and much more.

Aug 24, 202201:04:10
The (Almost) New Bull Market

The (Almost) New Bull Market

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The craziest recession we've ever seen, US inflation and what the latest numbers mean, the latest on supply chains, the death and resurrection of the 60/40 portfolio, the (almost) new bull market, and much more.

Aug 17, 202201:06:40
Forecasting The Future

Forecasting The Future

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Forecasting returns over the next decade and what investors could expect, looking forward to a potential soft landing, the RBA's rate hikes, did the market just bottom, and much more.

Aug 10, 202201:09:55
A Recession Special

A Recession Special

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The markets full capitulation - does opportunity knock, market timing, everybody hates stocks - is it time to buy? is this a real recession, and much more.

Aug 03, 202201:11:59
Headlines Versus Reality

Headlines Versus Reality

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The headlines versus what is happening in reality (the consumer conundrum), inflation and interest rates and the impact on US property sales, the upcoming recession, the impact of rising rates on Australian borrowers, the loan boycott in China, and much more.

Jul 27, 202201:19:00
No One Knows Nothing

No One Knows Nothing

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Bitcoin's logical fall, why no one understands inflation, why no one is moving to Australia, why financial headlines are frustrating Robert, consumer sentiment and unemployment, and much more.

Jul 06, 202201:05:33
Capitulation of Everything

Capitulation of Everything

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Capitulation in crypto, capitulation in stocks, capitulation in bonds, capitulation in tech, forward expected returns from here, global CEO outlook, retail sales, stockpiling of goods, and much more.

Jun 30, 202201:02:52
What Recession?

What Recession?

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The decline in US and Australian loan applications, the RBA's monster rate hike, the prospect of rate cuts, JP Morgan's economic hurricane prediction, global inventories rising which could be deflationary, and why we're not in a recession and probably won't be in the immediate short-term, and much more.

Jun 15, 202201:11:59
Have We Hit The Bottom?

Have We Hit The Bottom?

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Forward returns are looking strong, why inflation turned the corner, Elon says Get Back to Work, property continues to be safe as houses, the economy is bending not breaking, and the US is out of baby formula, and much more.

Jun 08, 202201:06:04
Surely We're in a Recession

Surely We're in a Recession

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Bitcoin is risky business, tech-wreck indicating a recession, parallels to the 1970's, the best performing asset classes for 2022, the state of play in the US (and Australian) property market, and much more.

Jun 01, 202255:10
That 2000's Feeling

That 2000's Feeling

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Retailers getting crushed, the price of hamburgers, that 2000's feeling, super-charging property, cashed up investors, and much more.

May 25, 202258:55
We've Given Everything Up

We've Given Everything Up

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Earnings season recap, the bull market has ended, rates are exploding, we've given everything up, online shopping, and much more.

May 18, 202201:01:08
This is The Tech Wreck

This is The Tech Wreck

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The stock market's valuations, the RBA's tough gig, rates are going up so that rates can come down, is this the tech wreck or is this not the tech wreck, Cathie Wood doing God's work, and much more.

May 11, 202201:03:40
The Bull is Shot and Wounded

The Bull is Shot and Wounded

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The worst bullish sentiment since 1992, the slowdown in Sydney and Melbourne's property market, the rise of real yields, the bank of mum and dad, past performance is no guarantee of future results, and much more.

May 04, 202201:02:37
Don't Abandon Your Bond Strategy

Don't Abandon Your Bond Strategy

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

We're going back to the office, Hong Kong's property market crash, foreign buyers returning to Australia, why investor's shouldn't abandon their bond strategy, recession risks rising, Tesla and Netflix earnings, and much more.

Apr 27, 202201:03:40
Stocks and Bonds Must Crash

Stocks and Bonds Must Crash

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Stocks and bonds must crash to curb inflation, a recession is on the way, long bonds have crashed - where to from here, used car sales start to decline, listener questions, and much more.

Apr 20, 202251:25
Investors Had Nowhere to Hide in Q1

Investors Had Nowhere to Hide in Q1

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The death of deglobalisation, investors have nowhere to hide, the most expensive properties in the world, the role infrastructure plays in portfolios (if at all), company profits soaring, and much more.

Apr 14, 202255:25
The End of an Office Era

The End of an Office Era

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

An end of an office era, the return of shipping delays, the yield curve might just be wrong, rising rates may not be as bad for Aussies with mortgages as what we're hearing, what happens to stocks when rates rise, and much more.

Apr 06, 202201:06:02
The Recession Oracle

The Recession Oracle

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The expected downturn in Sydney's property market, COVID's market bottom anniversary, has the stock market bottomed, the upcoming recession, rising inventories, active management's struggle, and much more.

Mar 29, 202257:11
The Massacre in Stocks

The Massacre in Stocks

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

The worst start to the year in stocks, Fed raising rates and what this means for markets, when is the next recession, oil's sharp reversal, bearish investors, the massacre in stay-at-home stocks, and why you can't find baby corn at the Asian grocer.
Mar 22, 202201:02:22
Volatility of Everything

Volatility of Everything

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Do commodity booms precede recessions, investors are actually not yet panicking, volatility spike in everything, a global wheat disruption, Aussie stocks, what Nasdaq bear markets mean for investors, and much more.
Mar 15, 202201:00:16
Model: Property to Decline 33%

Model: Property to Decline 33%

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Quick corrections in stock markets, house prices will collapse by 33%, the rush to sell property, soaring renovations costs, Russia and financial markets, and a flight to Bitcoin.
Mar 08, 202257:31
Conflict, Contradictions, and Corrections

Conflict, Contradictions, and Corrections

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Why bond outflows matter more than you think, ESG marketing, pullbacks in stocks and bonds, producer prices rising, consumer contradiction, and Russia versus Omicron and what matter more to markets.
Mar 01, 202252:15
Picking Stocks is Hard

Picking Stocks is Hard

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss:

Why picking stocks is hard, investors moving funds to cash, why consumers are in a strong position to withstand rate rises, Disney roaring back, Aussie property, and what geopolitics means for your investments.
Feb 22, 202247:16
What Property Bubble?
Feb 12, 202201:18:14
Buy the Dip

Buy the Dip

In this week's episode of The Wide Lens, Robert Baharian and Matthew Rigby discuss: Australian CPI, Bitcoin is not an inflation hedge, explosion in Australia's ETF market, property prices and inventory, extreme movements in stocks, what rate rises means for stocks, and buying the dip.
Feb 05, 202201:10:43
Pain in the Nasdaq
Jan 31, 202257:18
The Tao of Wealth 3.0 - Debbie Baharian [Wife/Mum/The Boss]

The Tao of Wealth 3.0 - Debbie Baharian [Wife/Mum/The Boss]

My number 1 guest on MII is back, Debbie Baharian. I have interviewed company CEO's, MDs, and Chief Investment Officers, and I have never had as much difficulty as I have to secure this meeting. We talk about financial freedom, beliefs, agendas in life and business, and we talk about why clients come to see us at Baharian Wealth Management.
Nov 11, 202151:45
The Emergence of Alternative Assets - Koby Jones [The SILC Group]

The Emergence of Alternative Assets - Koby Jones [The SILC Group]

My guest today is Koby Jones, Managing Director of The SILC Group, a specialised investment and lending group, focussing on alternative investments.

In our conversation we discuss the rise of alternatives, the role alternatives play in portfolios, and what investors can expect from alternatives in the future.
Oct 21, 202101:02:23
Raise The Rates - Richard Quin [Bentham Asset Management]

Raise The Rates - Richard Quin [Bentham Asset Management]

My guest today is Richard Quin of Bentham Asset Management, one of Australia's most respected money managers. During our conversation we discuss inflation and what this means for the economy, interest rates, and investors. We talk about China Evergrande Group and what it really means for the markets and for investors, and why this is not another Lehman Brothers. And we talk about the Australian market, interest rates, the impact on housing, and what Australian investors need to think about.
Oct 14, 202101:00:13
An Evergrande Collapse - Andrew Papageorgiou [Realm Investment House]

An Evergrande Collapse - Andrew Papageorgiou [Realm Investment House]

My guest today is Andrew Papageorgiou, Managing Director of the $2B money manager, Realm Investment House. During our conversation today we discuss the China Evergrande Group story and it's impact on Australia and Australian investors, shadow banking, and why investing is so personal, and not a one-size-fits-all.
Sep 30, 202158:07
The $670M Idea - David Haintz [Shadforth Financial Group (SFG)]

The $670M Idea - David Haintz [Shadforth Financial Group (SFG)]

My guest today is David Haintz. David took his boutique financial advice business, and with a few others, created Shadforth Financial Group (SFG) and in 2014 monetized for $670M.

During our conversation, we talk about what the best financial and wealth management business are focussing on, the future of wealth management, and what clients need to look out for when engaging a financial adviser.
Sep 23, 202101:03:57
Bringing New Ideas to Life - James Sinclair [Signature Hospitality Group]

Bringing New Ideas to Life - James Sinclair [Signature Hospitality Group]

My guest today is James Sinclair. CEO of Signature Hospitality Group - with brands such as The Sporting Globe, TGI Fridays, All Hands Brewing House, and W.J. Wills Eatery. In our conversation today, we discuss bringing new ideas to life, the constant growth of those new ideas, systemising processes, and the outlook for the entertainment and F&B industry in Australia.
Sep 16, 202153:52
Bae Business - Liam Gostencnik & Tim O'Sullivan [Bae Juice]

Bae Business - Liam Gostencnik & Tim O'Sullivan [Bae Juice]

My guests today are Liam and Tim from Bae Juice. Bae Juice is an Aussie start-up whose products are now stocked all across Australia.

We talk about what it takes to start a business, the overnight success that actually took 10 years, the power of relationships, and why saying yes more than no is actually a good thing.
Sep 09, 202159:45
Bets, Odds, and Hindsight - Bhanu Singh [Dimensional Fund Advisors]

Bets, Odds, and Hindsight - Bhanu Singh [Dimensional Fund Advisors]

My guest today is Bhanu Singh - Head of Asia Pacific Portfolio Management at Dimensional. Bhanu is responsible for all portfolios managed out of the Dimensional offices in Australia, Singapore and Japan. He's also Bhanu is a member of Dimensional's Investment Research Committee and serves as a Director for Dimensional Australia. During our conversation we discuss mega cap stocks and their future outlook, the odds of a market correction, marijuana stocks, and more.
Sep 02, 202101:00:53